ECONOMIC INDICATOR ANALYSIS

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• International Trade - August 2008  - Real Trade Deficit Improves Further Despite Flat Headline (10/10/2008)
• Employment - September 2008  - Broad Based Decline Consistent with Recession (10/03/2008)
• ISM Non-Manufacturing Index - September 2008  - Unlike Manufacturing, Service Sector Activity Holds Up (10/03/2008)
• Factory Orders - August 2008  - Drop 4.0 Percent; Bad Sign for Q3 Business Spending (10/02/2008)
• Construction Spending - August 2008  - Spending Remains Flat (10/01/2008)
• ISM Manufacturing Index - September 2008  - Manufacturing Falls Sharply - Recession? (10/01/2008)
• Case-Shiller Home Price Index - July 2008  - Home Prices Continue to Decline (09/30/2008)
• Consumer Confidence - September 2008  - Rose but Remains Pressured (09/30/2008)
• Personal Income and Spending - August 2008  - Personal Income Up and Spending Flat (09/29/2008)
• Durable Goods Orders - August 2008  - Declined Significantly (09/25/2008)
• New Home Sales - August 2008  - Fell Sharply (09/25/2008)
• Existing Home Sales - August 2008  - Slid (09/24/2008)
• Leading Indicators - August 2008  - Suggest Continued Weakness Ahead (09/18/2008)
• Housing Starts - August 2008  - Continued Slide (09/17/2008)
• Consumer Price Index - August 2008  - Inflation Fears are Subsiding (09/16/2008)
• International Trade - July 2008  - Widened in July Driven by Jump in Oil Imports (09/11/2008)
• Employment - August 2008  - A Very Recession-Like Employment Report (09/05/2008)
• ISM Non-Manufacturing Index - August 2008  - Service Sector Activity Expands (09/04/2008)
• Factory Orders - July 2008  - Continue Momentum, Gain Another 1.3 Percent (09/03/2008)
• Construction Spending - July 2008  - Private Construction Spending Weakness Shows Up (09/02/2008)
• ISM Manufacturing Index - August 2008  - Manufacturing Remains Resilient But is Still in Low Gear (09/02/2008)
• Personal Income and Spending - July 2008  - Is Poised for a Major Slowdown (08/29/2008)
• Real GDP Preliminary - 2Q 2008  - Export-Led Growth, Weak Profits (08/28/2008)
• Durable Goods Orders - July 2008  - Higher Than Expected (08/27/2008)

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